Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Carolina vs Macy Chiasson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'11"
69"Reach72"
128 lbsWeight135 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luana CarolinaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Macy ChiassonNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
51%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.86
51%
Strike defense
46%
0.30
Takedown avg.
2.07
38%
Takedown accuracy
37%
69%
Takedown defense
73%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Luana CarolinaMacy Chiasson
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (30%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Luana Carolina59%
Macy Chiasson 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luana Carolina a 59% favorite over Macy Chiasson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Macy Chiasson 60%.

Macy Chiasson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.