Luana Carolina vs Macy Chiasson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'11"
69"Reach72"
128 lbsWeight135 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luana CarolinaMacy Chiasson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Macy Chiasson57%
Luana Carolina 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 57% favorite over Luana Carolina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luana Carolina's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Macy Chiasson 60%.
Macy Chiasson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.