Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Carolina vs Melissa Croden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach69"
128 lbsWeight135 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamRaven House MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luana CarolinaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Melissa CrodenNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
4.27
51%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
51%
Strike defense
59%
0.30
Takedown avg.
2.02
38%
Takedown accuracy
17%
69%
Takedown defense
67%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Luana CarolinaMelissa Croden
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (13%)
7 (64%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Croden60%
Luana Carolina 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Croden a 60% favorite over Luana Carolina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1622), separated by just 7 points.

Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Croden 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.