Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Carolina vs Molly McCann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
69"Reach62"
128 lbsWeight116 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

Luana Carolina is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Molly McCann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luana CarolinaNow 1615
If they win+15→ 1630
If they lose-17→ 1598
Molly McCannNow 1596
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-15→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
51%
Strike defense
63%
0.30
Takedown avg.
1.84
38%
Takedown accuracy
37%
69%
Takedown defense
39%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Luana CarolinaMolly McCann
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (7%)
7 (64%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Luana Carolina66%
Molly McCann 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Luana Carolina a 66% favorite over Molly McCann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Luana Carolina holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1596, a 19-point edge.

Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Molly McCann 50%.

Luana Carolina and Molly McCann share 1 common opponent: Julija Stoliarenko.

Luana Carolina carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Julija Stoliarenko
LossSubmission · 2023