Luana Carolina vs Poliana Botelho
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Luana Carolina64%
Poliana Botelho 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Carolina a 64% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Luana Carolina holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1574, a 39-point edge.
Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.
Luana Carolina carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach67"
128 lbsWeight125 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Luana Carolina is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Poliana Botelho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1627
If they lose-18→ 1595
If they win+18→ 1592
If they lose-14→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luana CarolinaPoliana Botelho