Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Carolina vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach67"
128 lbsWeight125 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Luana Carolina is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Poliana Botelho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luana CarolinaNow 1615
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-18→ 1597
Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-14→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
51%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
51%
Strike defense
54%
0.30
Takedown avg.
0.85
38%
Takedown accuracy
57%
69%
Takedown defense
77%
0.61
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luana CarolinaPoliana Botelho
15501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (64%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Luana Carolina70%
Poliana Botelho 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Luana Carolina a 70% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Luana Carolina holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1575, a 40-point edge.

Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Luana Carolina carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.