Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Carolina vs Sara McMann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach66"
128 lbsWeight145 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luana CarolinaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Sara McMannNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
51%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.92
51%
Strike defense
48%
0.30
Takedown avg.
4.38
38%
Takedown accuracy
65%
69%
Takedown defense
50%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Luana CarolinaSara McMann
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (36%)
7 (64%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Luana Carolina63%
Sara McMann 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luana Carolina a 63% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sara McMann's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1618), separated by just 3 points.

Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.

Luana Carolina carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.