Luana Carolina vs Summer Onley
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Luana Carolina53%
Summer Onley 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Carolina a 53% favorite over Summer Onley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Summer Onley's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1618), separated by just 5 points.
Luana Carolina finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Summer Onley 83%.
Luana Carolina carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
128 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luana CarolinaSummer Onley