Luana Pinheiro vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
62"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Luana Pinheiro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1620
If they lose-18→ 1588
If they win+18→ 1575
If they lose-14→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luana PinheiroRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luana Pinheiro70%
Randa Markos 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Pinheiro a 70% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Luana Pinheiro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1557, a 49-point edge.
Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luana Pinheiro finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Luana Pinheiro and Randa Markos share 2 common opponents: Angela Hill and Amanda Ribas.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.