Lucas Almeida vs Young Jae Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record10-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team KioshiTeamHavas MMA· 1658 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlmeidaYoung Jae Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Almeida63%
Young Jae Song 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 63% favorite over Young Jae Song in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.
Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Young Jae Song 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.