Lucas Brennan vs Nicolas Sávio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record13-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach-
146 lbsWeight154 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas BrennanNicolas Sávio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lucas Brennan and Nicolas Sávio within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.
Lucas Brennan finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Sávio 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.