Lucas Corbage vs Mohammad Fahmi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas CorbageMohammad Fahmi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammad Fahmi54%
Lucas Corbage 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Fahmi a 54% favorite over Lucas Corbage in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Corbage's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.
Lucas Corbage finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Fahmi 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.