Lucas Corbage vs Radley da Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach71.5"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Radley da Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Lucas Corbage carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1602
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-20→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas CorbageRadley da Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Radley da Silva88%
Lucas Corbage 12%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Radley da Silva a 88% favorite over Lucas Corbage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Radley da Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1614, a 90-point edge.
Radley da Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Lucas Corbage finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Radley da Silva 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.