Lucas Fernando vs Nicolae Negumereanu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record13-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
81.5"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight206 lbs
Refit Pro FightersTeamKorona Sports Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas FernandoNicolae Negumereanu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Fernando79%
Nicolae Negumereanu 21%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Fernando a 79% favorite over Nicolae Negumereanu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1682), separated by just 5 points.
Lucas Fernando enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Lucas Fernando finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Negumereanu 85%.
Lucas Fernando carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.