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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Fernando vs Travis Wiuff

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record78-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81.5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight265 lbs
Refit Pro FightersTeamElite Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas FernandoNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Travis WiuffNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
0.31
57%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
51%
Strike defense
41%
1.72
Takedown avg.
3.14
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
44%
0.57
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Lucas FernandoTravis Wiuff
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
39 (50%)
2 (14%)
Submission
12 (15%)
4 (29%)
Decision
27 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Fernando55%
Travis Wiuff 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Fernando a 55% favorite over Travis Wiuff in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1692), separated by just 0 points.

Lucas Fernando enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Travis Wiuff enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Lucas Fernando finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Travis Wiuff 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.