Lucas Fernando vs Vladimir Matyushenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record27-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
81.5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Refit Pro FightersTeamVMAT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas FernandoVladimir Matyushenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Fernando88%
Vladimir Matyushenko 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Fernando a 88% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1684), separated by just 3 points.
Lucas Fernando enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Lucas Fernando finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.