Lucas Gabriel vs Magomed Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record15-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova Uniao PhuketTeamKHK MMA Dagestan· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Lucas Gabriel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1694
If they lose-13→ 1662
If they win+13→ 1748
If they lose-19→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas GabrielMagomed Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Gabriel52%
Magomed Magomedov 48%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Gabriel a 52% favorite over Magomed Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Magomedov's way (41%).
Magomed Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1675, a 60-point edge.
Lucas Gabriel enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Magomed Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Lucas Gabriel finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.