Lucas Ganin vs Mansur Khatuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record17-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
IS 360 Sport AcademyTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas GaninMansur Khatuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mansur Khatuev52%
Lucas Ganin 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Khatuev a 52% favorite over Lucas Ganin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Lucas Ganin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Ganin finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Khatuev 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.