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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucero Acosta vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record9-3-3
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach69"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Loba AcostaTeamMSP· 1637 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucero AcostaNow 1568
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
Melissa GattoNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.77
Not available
Takedown accuracy
3%
Not available
Takedown defense
59%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Lucero AcostaMelissa Gatto
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (50%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto67%
Lucero Acosta 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 67% favorite over Lucero Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1572), separated by just 4 points.

Lucero Acosta finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.