Lucero Acosta vs Shannon Clark
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record8-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach64"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Shannon Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Lucero Acosta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1621
If they lose-20→ 1573
If they win+20→ 1670
If they lose-28→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucero AcostaShannon Clark
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shannon Clark57%
Lucero Acosta 43%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Shannon Clark a 57% favorite over Lucero Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Shannon Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1593, a 57-point edge.
Lucero Acosta enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Shannon Clark enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lucero Acosta finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shannon Clark 63%.
Lucero Acosta carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.