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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucrezia Ria vs Niamh Kinehan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record3-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight130 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucrezia RiaNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Niamh KinehanNow 1581
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Lucrezia RiaNiamh Kinehan
155016002026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
7 (88%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucrezia Ria53%
Niamh Kinehan 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucrezia Ria a 53% favorite over Niamh Kinehan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Niamh Kinehan's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1581), separated by just 4 points.

Lucrezia Ria enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Niamh Kinehan enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Lucrezia Ria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Niamh Kinehan 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.