Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Felipe Dias vs Magnus Cedenblad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach79,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Felipe DiasNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Magnus CedenbladNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
39%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
53%
Strike defense
40%
6.24
Takedown avg.
2.87
57%
Takedown accuracy
64%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
1.56
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Luis Felipe DiasMagnus Cedenblad
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
8 (44%)
Submission
5 (36%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias62%
Magnus Cedenblad 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 62% favorite over Magnus Cedenblad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magnus Cedenblad's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1654), separated by just 2 points.

Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Cedenblad 86%.

Magnus Cedenblad carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.