Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Duclos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamVenum Training Camp Paris
What's at stake
Matthieu Duclos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Luis Felipe Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1638
If they lose-14→ 1606
If they win+14→ 1687
If they lose-18→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis Felipe DiasMatthieu Duclos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthieu Duclos61%
Luis Felipe Dias 39%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 61% favorite over Luis Felipe Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Matthieu Duclos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1620, a 53-point edge.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 82%.
Matthieu Duclos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.