Luis Felipe Dias vs Matthieu Duclos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamVenum Training Camp Paris
What's at stake
Luis Felipe Dias is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matthieu Duclos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-17→ 1634
If they win+17→ 1651
If they lose-15→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luis Felipe DiasMatthieu Duclos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luis Felipe Dias and Matthieu Duclos within a point of even.
Luis Felipe Dias holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1634, a 17-point edge.
Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.
Matthieu Duclos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.