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Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Felipe Dias vs Nissen Osterneck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRelson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Felipe DiasNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Nissen OsterneckNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
45%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
55%
Strike defense
41%
4.52
Takedown avg.
0.63
0%
Takedown accuracy
13%
67%
Takedown defense
43%
1.13
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Luis Felipe DiasNissen Osterneck
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
8 (44%)
Submission
7 (54%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias67%
Nissen Osterneck 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 67% favorite over Nissen Osterneck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nissen Osterneck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Nissen Osterneck 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.