Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Felipe Dias vs Oskar Piechota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record11-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamPiranha Grappling Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Felipe DiasNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Oskar PiechotaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
39%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
53%
Strike defense
52%
6.24
Takedown avg.
0.61
57%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
38%
1.56
Submission avg.
1.52

Trajectory

Luis Felipe DiasOskar Piechota
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
8 (44%)
Submission
5 (45%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias70%
Oskar Piechota 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 70% favorite over Oskar Piechota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.

Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Oskar Piechota 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.