Luis Felipe Dias vs Phil Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis Felipe DiasPhil Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Hawes56%
Luis Felipe Dias 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Hawes a 56% favorite over Luis Felipe Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.
Phil Hawes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.