Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Felipe Dias vs Vlasto Čepo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vlasto Čepo
rs

Vlasto Čepo

“Vlasto / El Chapo”

14-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1660 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Felipe DiasNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Vlasto ČepoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.86
Sig. strikes / min
0
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
4.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Luis Felipe DiasVlasto Čepo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
8 (44%)
Submission
4 (29%)
1 (6%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias52%
Vlasto Čepo 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 52% favorite over Vlasto Čepo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vlasto Čepo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Luis Felipe Dias enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Luis Felipe Dias finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.