Luis Hernandez vs Pedro Nobre
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luis Hernandez and Pedro Nobre within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1582), separated by just 2 points.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luis Hernandez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Delta Fighting AcademyTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1642 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis HernandezPedro Nobre