Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Fernandez vs Michael Patt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJTeamMeat Truck Inc.

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke FernandezNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Michael PattNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

32
Sig. strikes / min
1.65
100%
Strike accuracy
29%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
100%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luke FernandezMichael Patt
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (75%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Fernandez60%
Michael Patt 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 60% favorite over Michael Patt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Patt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Michael Patt 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.