Luke Fernandez vs Robert Lau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach-
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJ· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamIntegra Wittlich
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke FernandezRobert Lau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Fernandez54%
Robert Lau 46%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 54% favorite over Robert Lau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robert Lau's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1619), separated by just 6 points.
Robert Lau enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Robert Lau 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.