Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJTeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

Rodolfo Bellato is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Luke Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luke FernandezNow 1612
If they win+29→ 1641
If they lose-19→ 1593
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-19→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

32
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
100%
Strike accuracy
60%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
100%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
1.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
0%
Takedown defense
94%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Luke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (31%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato60%
Luke Fernandez 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 60% favorite over Luke Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Rodolfo Bellato holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1612, a 66-point edge.

Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.