Luke Fernandez vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJ· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke FernandezRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roland Dunlap52%
Luke Fernandez 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 52% favorite over Luke Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Fernandez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1607), separated by just 5 points.
Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Roland Dunlap carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.