Luke Riley vs Pat Sabatini
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-0-0Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
If they win+12→ 1776
If they lose-12→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke RileyPat Sabatini
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Riley52%
Pat Sabatini 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Riley a 52% favorite over Pat Sabatini in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pat Sabatini's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1764), separated by just 10 points.
Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Luke Riley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Pat Sabatini 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.