Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Riley vs Vinicius Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-0-0 Record 24-4-0
Featherweight Division Bantamweight
5'9" Height 5'9"
69" Reach 70"
145 lbs Weight 135 lbs
Next Generation MMA Liverpool Team Sombra Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke RileyNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723
Vinicius OliveiraNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

5.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
57%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
2.70
65%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
38%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Luke Riley Vinicius Oliveira
1650 1700 1750 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
17 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (8%)
4 (31%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luke Riley and Vinicius Oliveira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1739 vs 1739), separated by just 0 points.

Luke Riley enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Luke Riley finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.