Lupita Godinez vs Machi Fukuda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record11-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'0"
61"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFreelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lupita GodinezMachi Fukuda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Machi Fukuda60%
Lupita Godinez 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Machi Fukuda a 60% favorite over Lupita Godinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1673), separated by just 6 points.
Machi Fukuda enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Lupita Godinez finishes 21% of wins inside the distance, Machi Fukuda 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.