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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lupita Godinez vs Tina Black

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tina Black
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Tina Black

“Tina Black / Valesca Machado”

16-4-0StrawweightUFC

1679Good

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record16-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
61"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMSP· 1637 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lupita GodinezNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Tina BlackNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
49%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
62%
Strike defense
64%
2.99
Takedown avg.
0
16%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
77%
0.82
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lupita GodinezTina Black
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (6%)
11 (79%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Lupita Godinez65%
Tina Black 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 65% favorite over Tina Black in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1679), separated by just 3 points.

Tina Black enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Lupita Godinez finishes 21% of wins inside the distance, Tina Black 44%.

Tina Black carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.