Mac Danzig vs Mark Bocek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-1Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Danzig MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Mark Bocek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mac Danzig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1612
If they lose-9→ 1588
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-20→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mac DanzigMark Bocek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Bocek78%
Mac Danzig 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Bocek a 78% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Mark Bocek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1597, a 100-point edge.
Mac Danzig finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.
Mac Danzig and Mark Bocek share 1 common opponent: Jim Miller.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.