Combat Edge Intelligence

Mac Danzig vs Takanori Gomi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Takanori Gomi
jp

Takanori Gomi

“The Fireball Kid”

35-15-0LightweightRFF

1665Good

Tale of the tape

22-12-1Record35-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Danzig MMATeamKugayama Rascal

What's at stake

Takanori Gomi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mac Danzig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mac DanzigNow 1597
If they win+14→ 1611
If they lose-10→ 1587
Takanori GomiNow 1665
If they win+10→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.81
49%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
57%
Strike defense
60%
1.20
Takedown avg.
1.23
38%
Takedown accuracy
65%
46%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.80

Trajectory

Mac DanzigTakanori Gomi
16001650170020172018

Win method breakdown

5 (23%)
KO/TKO
14 (40%)
11 (50%)
Submission
6 (17%)
6 (27%)
Decision
15 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Takanori Gomi56%
Mac Danzig 44%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Takanori Gomi a 56% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Takanori Gomi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1597, a 68-point edge.

Mac Danzig finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Takanori Gomi 57%.

Mac Danzig and Takanori Gomi share 3 common opponents: Joe Lauzon, Melvin Guillard and Jim Miller.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossKO/TKO · 2013
Melvin Guillard
Win Punch · 2018
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2009
Jim Miller
LossKO/TKO · 2016
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2013
Joe Lauzon
LossKO/TKO · 2015