Machi Fukuda vs Mizuki Inoue
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record16-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'0"Height5'4"
61"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Machi FukudaMizuki Inoue
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Machi Fukuda60%
Mizuki Inoue 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Machi Fukuda a 60% favorite over Mizuki Inoue in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mizuki Inoue's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1679), separated by just 6 points.
Machi Fukuda enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Mizuki Inoue enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Machi Fukuda finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mizuki Inoue 56%.
Mizuki Inoue carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.