Machi Fukuda vs Talita Alencar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record8-1-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'0"Height5'1"
61"Reach58"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTemple Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Machi FukudaTalita Alencar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Machi Fukuda54%
Talita Alencar 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Machi Fukuda a 54% favorite over Talita Alencar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1668), separated by just 5 points.
Machi Fukuda enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Machi Fukuda finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.
Machi Fukuda carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.