Mackenzie Dern vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
63"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
RVCATeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Mackenzie Dern is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1728
If they lose-23→ 1696
If they win+23→ 1580
If they lose-9→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mackenzie DernRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern87%
Randa Markos 13%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 87% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Mackenzie Dern holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1557, a 162-point edge.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mackenzie Dern finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Mackenzie Dern and Randa Markos share 4 common opponents: Amanda Ribas, Angela Hill, Marina Rodriguez and Nina Nunes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.