Mackenzie Dern vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
RVCATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mackenzie DernXiaonan Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern87%
Xiaonan Yan 13%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 87% favorite over Xiaonan Yan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1734), separated by just 1 points.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mackenzie Dern finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Mackenzie Dern and Xiaonan Yan share 4 common opponents: Virna Jandiroba, Jéssica Andrade, Angela Hill and Marina Rodriguez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.