Combat Edge Intelligence

Macy Chiasson vs Sarah Kaufman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'5"
72"Reach67.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Macy ChiassonNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Sarah KaufmanNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
6.65
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
46%
Strike defense
63%
2.07
Takedown avg.
0.38
37%
Takedown accuracy
57%
73%
Takedown defense
81%
0.44
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Macy ChiassonSarah Kaufman
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
11 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (9%)
4 (40%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Macy Chiasson53%
Sarah Kaufman 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 53% favorite over Sarah Kaufman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1608), separated by just 6 points.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Kaufman 59%.

Macy Chiasson and Sarah Kaufman share 1 common opponent: Pannie Kianzad.

Macy Chiasson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2024
Pannie Kianzad
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2018