Magomed Ankalaev vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-2-1Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Gorets Fight ClubTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1845
If they lose-22→ 1813
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-7→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed AnkalaevNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev73%
Nikita Krylov 27%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 73% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1835 to 1691, a 144-point edge.
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Magomed Ankalaev and Nikita Krylov share 2 common opponents: Johnny Walker and Volkan Oezdemir.
Nikita Krylov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.