Magomed Ankalaev vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-2-1Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Gorets Fight ClubTeamFight Move Academy
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1846
If they lose-21→ 1814
If they win+21→ 1740
If they lose-11→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed AnkalaevVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev70%
Volkan Oezdemir 30%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 70% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1835 to 1719, a 116-point edge.
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Magomed Ankalaev and Volkan Oezdemir share 3 common opponents: Aleksandar Rakić, Johnny Walker and Nikita Krylov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.