Magomed Magomedkerimov vs Patrick Downey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-6-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73.00"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Magomed Magomedkerimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +3 while a loss costs more — Patrick Downey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+3→ 1814
If they lose-21→ 1790
If they win+41→ 1537
If they lose-7→ 1489
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Magomed MagomedkerimovPatrick Downey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Magomedkerimov75%
Patrick Downey 25%Elo baseline: 86%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Magomedkerimov a 75% favorite over Patrick Downey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (86%).
Magomed Magomedkerimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1496, a 315-point edge.
Magomed Magomedkerimov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Magomed Magomedkerimov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.