Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Mustafaev vs Piotr Hallmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach41,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

Magomed Mustafaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Piotr Hallmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Magomed MustafaevNow 1699
If they win+14→ 1713
If they lose-18→ 1681
Piotr HallmannNow 1657
If they win+18→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
59%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
41%
Strike defense
59%
3.31
Takedown avg.
2.55
50%
Takedown accuracy
44%
23%
Takedown defense
71%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Magomed MustafaevPiotr Hallmann
1650170020162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
4 (29%)
Submission
7 (37%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Mustafaev66%
Piotr Hallmann 34%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Mustafaev a 66% favorite over Piotr Hallmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Magomed Mustafaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1657, a 42-point edge.

Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Magomed Mustafaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.