Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Mustafaev vs Radley da Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.5"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamPinnacle Combat Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed MustafaevNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Radley da SilvaNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.59
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
59%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
41%
Strike defense
Not available
3.31
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
23%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.41
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Magomed MustafaevRadley da Silva
15501600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
4 (29%)
Submission
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Radley da Silva59%
Magomed Mustafaev 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Radley da Silva a 59% favorite over Magomed Mustafaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1706), separated by just 1 points.

Radley da Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Magomed Mustafaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Radley da Silva 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.