Magomed Mustafaev vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Magomed Mustafaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1684
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-17→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed MustafaevRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev73%
Magomed Mustafaev 27%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 73% favorite over Magomed Mustafaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1699, a 31-point edge.
Magomed Mustafaev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Magomed Mustafaev and Rafael Fiziev share 1 common opponent: Brad Riddell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.