Magomed Sulumov vs Sheymon Moraes
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sheymon Moraes54%
Magomed Sulumov 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sheymon Moraes a 54% favorite over Magomed Sulumov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1666), separated by just 14 points.
Magomed Sulumov finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Sheymon Moraes 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeamBlack House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1637
If they win+15→ 1681
If they lose-17→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Magomed SulumovSheymon Moraes