AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Zaynukov vs Roberto de Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record21-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
68" Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBonsai Jiu-Jitsu· 1690 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed ZaynukovNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Roberto de SouzaNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

15.67
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
61%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
58%
Strike defense
Not available
2
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Magomed ZaynukovRoberto de Souza
1650170020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (62%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Roberto de Souza53%
Magomed Zaynukov 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roberto de Souza a 53% favorite over Magomed Zaynukov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1710), separated by just 1 points.

Magomed Zaynukov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Magomed Zaynukov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Roberto de Souza 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.