Mahamed Aly vs Shonte Barnes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record6-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach41,5"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
One Way Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team Asheville
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1475 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mahamed AlyShonte Barnes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mahamed Aly65%
Shonte Barnes 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 65% favorite over Shonte Barnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.
Mahamed Aly finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Shonte Barnes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.